Snowiest Stretch Of The Winter. Wait, Is It Winter Yet?

Winter is showing signs of actually presenting itself in 2011-2012. According to the OSNW3 Winter Season Duration formula, if the maximum temperature for Jan-22 stays below 32 degrees OSNW3 will have finally made the transition into winter. Regardless of the outcome this is the latest beginning to winter since the 2006-07 season. A short lived Arctic air outbreak occurred Jan 19-21 giving the region a taste of winter. Here at OSNW3 our lowest recorded temperature for the three day span, -5.6 degrees, took place during the early morning hours of Jan-20. Looking ahead, using the OSNW3 forecast temperature trend based on the Lezak's Recurring Cycle theory, days will become seasonal with a good amount of them reaching the freezing mark or greater through the first half of February. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) agrees as well for the next 14 days. I added snowfall forecast maps to the OSNW3 Weather Brief. Check them out.

(OSNW3 Weather Brief)
(OSNW3 January Observations)

(OSNW3 January 2012 Summary)
(click on graph for the month summary data - it will open a new tab/window)

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Weekly Snowfall
Since the Jan-12 snow event we've had a Trace or more of snowfall 6 of the 9 days and of those 6 days 4 of them recorded measurable snowfall. This marks the snowiest stretch of days we've had this winter. For the month of January we are shy of the long-term average by 2.5 inches.

(Jan-17, 2012 - 0.1")

(Jan-18, 2012 - 1.0")

(Jan-19, 2012 - 0.3")

(Jan-21, 2012 - 1.0")

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Front Of House
Our snowdepth is around 4". The wovel is not getting much work. However, we are doing our best to enjoy what winter weather we have had.

(FOH - Jan 22, 2012)

Comments

  1. This has certainly been a disappointing Wisconsin winter so far. I'm hoping for an active 2nd half of the season.

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  2. Hey Chris! This winter is very impressive in my opinion. It really puts in perspective the climate differentials from points in Central WI compared to points in Northern WI or the Upper Peninsula of MI. Awesome stuff. In my humble opinion, I believe the LRC will win out and a flip of a switch pattern change will not happen. Expect more of the same until October. Now don't get me wrong, I hope that more snow falls in coming the months...

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