OSNW3 | OSHKOSH-NORTH

The 2013-14 winter forecast for Oshkosh is based on organic forecasting techniques. More details on the techniques are located in another  blog entry  (click the link to read more). I am going to make this forecast short and sweet and let the data do most of the talking. There are a few items that are new to my model this year and more info on them can be found in this blog entry  (click the link to read more). Temperatures will likely end near average, but I need to mention this average is misleading. There will be many ups and downs along the way, shots of seasonal warm and cool air, just like most winters in WI. Snowfall will likely be above average. There are 20 inches of snow separating ensemble members currently, M2 sees 38.5 inches while M3 sees 58.0 inches. OSNW3|WxClimate - Oshkosh Forecast Trend The image above is a snap shot in time. I captured the data on 20NOV13. Both temperature and precipitation numbers will evolve as the seasons progress so  c...

The winter of 2012-13 begins my third year following the Earth's cycling weather patterns. One way to remain locked into them is utilizing Lezak's Recurring Cycle theory. I first learned about the LRC theory in October of 2010. An eagerness to learn the theory has grown into a passion. From a once inconceivable backyard snowfall forecast in 2010, to a complete seasonal outlook for Oshkosh in 2011, to a website dedicating my attempts at providing accurate forecast numbers for the entire Midwest in 2012-13. The concept has certainly grown on me. (Click on the screen shot to navigate to the trends. I welcome all feedback on the site, the data, the 'model' output... anything, as it will help me improve/disregard the product in the future) Oshkosh 2012-13 Winter Forecast (Dec/Jan/Feb) The forecast is based strictly on LRC theory accompanied by the formulas I've engineered to project daily surface conditions. The main focus is the middle of the atmosphere and the ...