It's been a hot and dry July around the region as we all know. Back in late June when I was writing my monthly weather column for the Oshkosh Northwestern I was able to note a projection of relief from the heat and better chances for precipitation around the middle of the month using Lezak's Recurring Cycle theory. Granted the cool down came 24-48 hours past the initial time frame the LRC based Oshkosh trend had projected, but never the less, it came and it is here. One of the many beauty's of the LRC is that it breathes. Keeps us on our toes, so to speak.
"I like to use the LRC (Lezak’s Recurring Cycle) to put details onto the CPC month long forecast. If the jet dips and dives as it has since October during this part of the cycle, July could eventually harbor a more seasonal feel with extra chances at meaningful precipitation. I am personally looking forward to the middle part of the month when daytime highs in the 70s could be possible providing a needed break from the heat."
(July Weather Report)
The past three days (Jul 18-20) have recorded day time highs below normal (80,70,80) for this time of year. We've also recorded three days of measurable precipitation as well (Jul 17-19) adding up to 0.64 inches.
(OSNW3 July 2012 Summary)
Today, Jul 21, could bring a slight chance of rain. With clouds and precipitation in the area temperatures could be held in check another day.
(Satellite snapshot Jul 21 - 9AM)
The LRC based Oshkosh trend suggests warmer times are to come. There is also a chance for thunderstorms very late July into very early August (Jul 30 - Aug 4). It is a pattern that has recurred since early May, happening again in middle June. Keep up to date on the weather in and around Oshkosh by visiting the OSNW3 Oshkosh Weather Brief.
If there are any questions or thoughts just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!