OSNW3 | OSHKOSH-NORTH

It's been a hot and dry July around the region as we all know. Back in late June when I was writing my monthly weather column for the Oshkosh Northwestern I was able to note a projection of relief from the heat and better chances for precipitation around the middle of the month using Lezak's Recurring Cycle theory. Granted the cool down came 24-48 hours past the initial time frame the LRC based Oshkosh trend had projected, but never the less, it came and it is here. One of the many beauty's of the LRC is that it breathes. Keeps us on our toes, so to speak. "I like to use the LRC (Lezak’s Recurring Cycle) to put details onto the CPC month long forecast. If the jet dips and dives as it has since October during this part of the cycle, July could eventually harbor a more seasonal feel with extra chances at meaningful precipitation. I am personally looking forward to the middle part of the month when daytime highs in the 70s could be possible providing a needed break f...

A locally grown complex of thunderstorms in NW Outagamie county organized late in the afternoon on July 2. Gaining strength as it moved south into Winnebago county the strength of the storm was evident as it reached peak intensity directly over Oshkosh. (Radarloop Jul 2, 2012) Hail, strong wind gusts, and street flooding were the most common reports from the eleven storm spotter reports made to the National Weather Service in Green Bay. A condensed version of the NWS-GRB Oshkosh reports are located here . Fellow storm spotter, Mark Martin, had the opportunity to snag a hail stone and measure it. His hail measured just about an inch, but there were reports of larger hail measuring 1.5 inches. A photo of Mark's hail is below. I recovered a quarter sized hail stone at OSNW3 but was unsuccessful in getting a quality photo of it. I did get pelted in the head during the act of retrieval. I will admit that it hurt and that I should not have gone out to retrieve it in the first p...